Evaluation of the MPS Predictive Policing Trial (redacted)

Project report


Bryant, R., Azhar, H., Blackburn, B. and Falade, M. 2015. Evaluation of the MPS Predictive Policing Trial (redacted).
AuthorsBryant, R., Azhar, H., Blackburn, B. and Falade, M.
TypeProject report
Abstract

This report is an evaluation of a trial of predictive policing by the MPS in the Greater London Area. Since 2013, MPS Territorial Policing, Capability and Support (TP C & S) has been trialling a number of predictive policing initiatives in the capital. By late 2014, three commercial predictive policing products and one ‘in house’ (MPS analyst) crime forecasting model (‘MBR’) were being used to support operational decision-making in most London boroughs. The commercial products were each allocated two Borough Operational Command Units (BOCU) in which to operate. The MBR (in principle at least) operated in the remaining 26 of the 32 MPS BOCUs. As part of the evaluation we assessed the hit rates and predictive accuracy indices of the crime forecasting products in two towns outside London: Reading and Slough.

Keywordspredictive policing predictive accuracy indices PAIs crime forecasting hit rates MPS
Year2015
Output statusUnpublished
File
Publication process dates
Deposited19 Jun 2017
CompletedJun 2015
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Armitage, A., Bryant, R., Dunnill, R., Hammersley, A., Hayes, D., Hudson, A. and Lawes, S. 1998. Teaching and training in post-compulsory education. Buckingham; Philadelphia Open University Press.
The work of the European cybercrime training and education group
Bryant, R. 2010. The work of the European cybercrime training and education group.
An analysis of conversion to UCAS 'Accepted Applicant' status of AHKM partnership school students
Apps, J., Bryant, R. and Rogers, R. 2010. An analysis of conversion to UCAS 'Accepted Applicant' status of AHKM partnership school students. Aimhigher Kent and Medway.
Resources for teaching and learning
Bryant, R. 2007. Resources for teaching and learning. in: Armitage, A., Bryant, R., Dunnill, R., Flanagan, K., Hayes, D., Hudson, A., Kent, J. and Lawes, S. (ed.) Teaching and Training in Post-Compulsory Education Maidenhead Open University Press. pp. 108-142
Validation and quality assurance of foundation degrees - a case study of a foundation degree in policing
Bryant, R. 2005. Validation and quality assurance of foundation degrees - a case study of a foundation degree in policing. Journal of Foundation Degree Forward. 5, pp. 48-53.
Understanding criminal investigation
Tong, S., Bryant, R. and Horvath, M. Tong, S., Bryant, R. and Horvarth, M. (ed.) 2009. Understanding criminal investigation. Oxford, UK Wiley-Blackwell.
Future challenges in criminal investigation
Tong, S., Bryant, R. and Horvath, M. 2009. Future challenges in criminal investigation. in: Tong, S., Bryant, R. and Horvarth, M. (ed.) Understanding Criminal Investigation Oxford, UK Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 217-222
Criminal investigation in context
Tong, S., Bryant, R. and Horvath, M. 2009. Criminal investigation in context. in: Tong, S., Bryant, R. and Horvarth, M. (ed.) Understanding Criminal Investigation Oxford, UK Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 171-196
Forms of reasoning and the analysis of intelligence
Bryant, R. 2009. Forms of reasoning and the analysis of intelligence. in: Tong, S., Bryant, R. and Horvarth, M. (ed.) Understanding Criminal Investigation Oxford, UK Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 35-68
Theories of criminal investigation
Bryant, R. 2009. Theories of criminal investigation. in: Tong, S., Bryant, R. and Horvarth, M. (ed.) Understanding Criminal Investigation Oxford, UK Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 13-34
Plastic card crime
Bryant, R. and Stephens, P. 2008. Plastic card crime. in: Bryant, R. (ed.) Investigating Digital Crime Chichester Wiley. pp. 133-151
Digitalisation and crime
Bryant, R. and Stephens, P. 2008. Digitalisation and crime. in: Bryant, R. (ed.) Investigating Digital Crime Chichester Wiley. pp. 211-230
Intelligence and its application to contemporary policing
Phillips, D., Caless, B. and Bryant, R. 2007. Intelligence and its application to contemporary policing. Policing. 1 (4), pp. 438-446. https://doi.org/10.1093/police/pam060
Foundations of the theory of maps on surfaces with boundary
Bryant, R. and Singerman, D. 1985. Foundations of the theory of maps on surfaces with boundary. The Quarterly Journal of Mathematics. 36 (1), pp. 17-41. https://doi.org/10.1093/qmath/36.1.17